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Oct 16, 2025The October trend Bitcoin could soon reignite as traders bet on a Federal Reserve rate cut, with CME data showing a 96.7% chance of easing later this month. Historically, October has been one of BTC’s strongest months, averaging 20% gains since 2019.
With institutions now holding over $117 billion in BTC, optimism is building for a potential late-month breakout above $110,000.
Fed Rate Cut Bets Rise to 96.7% Ahead of October Meeting
Bitcoin’s historical October strength may be gearing up for another test as traders brace for a potential Federal Reserve rate cut later this month.
According to the latest CME FedWatch data, markets are pricing in a 96.7% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction in the federal funds rate, from 4.00–4.25% to the 3.75–4.00% range. Only 3.3% of traders expect no change.
A cut would mark the Fed’s first easing move in over a year, signaling that policymakers may be shifting toward stimulating growth amid softening economic indicators. Lower borrowing costs often lead to greater liquidity and a stronger risk-on appetite, favoring assets like BTC.
Corporate Bitcoin Holdings Surge Past $117B
Institutional sentiment is also turning more constructive. According to Bitwise’s Q3 2025 Corporate Bitcoin Adoption Report, total BTC held by public companies reached 1.02 million BTC, valued at $117 billion, a 28% quarterly increase.
Nearly 48 new firms added Bitcoin to their balance sheets in Q3, bringing the total number of corporate holders to 172, up 38.7% from the previous quarter.
This wave of accumulation underscores that corporations are increasingly treating Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, not just a speculative play. The ongoing Fed pivot narrative, combined with expanding institutional adoption, could amplify Bitcoin’s recovery momentum into November.
The RSI near 48 signals early bullish divergence, hinting that downside pressure may be fading.
Bitcoin Hyper: The Next Evolution of Bitcoin on Solana?
Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is bringing a new phase to the Bitcoin ecosystem. While BTC remains the gold standard for security, Bitcoin Hyper adds what it always lacked: Solana-level speed.
Built as the first Bitcoin-native Layer 2 powered by the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), it merges Bitcoin’s stability with Solana’s high-performance framework.
As Bitcoin activity climbs and demand for efficient BTC-based apps rises, Bitcoin Hyper stands out as the bridge uniting two of crypto’s biggest ecosystems.